HOW WELL DO THE AIR QUALITY MODELS EMEP AND CAMS REPRODUCE PARTICULATE MATTER SURFACE CONCENTRATIONS IN BULGARIA

Proceeding of 1st International Conference on Environmental Protection and Disaster RISKs, 2020, DOI: https://doi.org/10.48365/ENVR-2020.1.9
Hristina Kirova, Nadya Neykova, Emilia Georgieva

Abstract:
The main objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of some well-known and widely used operational air quality modelling systems (EMEP-MSC-W, and the models at the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)) for simulations of particulate matter in Bulgaria. The analysis is focussed on a summer month (August 2017) and includes comparison of model to observations from 24 regular air quality background stations, as well as model inter-comparison. Along with statistical indicators various graphs are used – box plots, kernel density estimations,and scatter plots. The spatial distribution is discussed upon maps of monthly mean concentrations and comparison of domain averaged model concentrations. The spatial distribution of PM10 is similar only over the Black sea. The highest domain mean surface concentrations are simulated by CAMS global – by about 12 % for PM10 and by about 14 % for PM2.5 higher than the other models.

Keywords:
chemical transport models,PM10, PM2.5, regular air quality observations, model validation, Bulgaria

Acknowledgements:
The work presented here was carried out in the frame of the project SIDIAQ “Satellite Information Downscaled to Urban Air Quality in Bulgaria”, funded by the Government of Bulgaria through the ESA Contract No.4000124150/18/NL/SC under the PECS (Plan for Еurореаn Cooperating States). Тhе view expressed herein саn in nо way bе taken to reflect the official opinion of the Еurореаn Space Agency.
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service and the Meteorological Synthesizing Centre-West of the European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme and Met Norway are acknowledged for providing analyzed and forecasted data on meteorological parameters and atmospheric chemistry. Someanalyses and visualizations used in this study were produced with the Giovanni online data system, developed and maintained by the NASA GES DISC.

Author information:
Author: Hristina Kirova
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1764-2443
E-mail: hristina.kirova@meteo.bg
Affiliation: National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology

Author: Nadya Neykova
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1892-2081
E-mail: nadya.neykova@meteo.bg
Affiliation: National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology

Author: Emilia Georgieva
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8466-4976
E-mail: emilia.georgieva@meteo.bg
Affiliation: National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology

How to cite:
Kirova, H., Neykova, N., & Georgieva, E. (2020). How Well Do the Air Quality Models EMEP and CAMS Reproduce Particulate Matter Surface Concentrations in Bulgaria. Proceeding of 1st International Conference on Environmental Protection and Disaster RISKs, 2020, p. 101-111. https://doi.org/10.48365/ENVR-2020.1.9